Why Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is So Hard
The Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20% of the world’s oil, has been blockaded by Iran using drones, missiles, and mines.
Oil prices have surged past $105, and the global economy is feeling the pressure. President Trump is demanding help from allies, saying he’s asked seven countries to send warships.
But reopening the strait is a monumental task. Shipping lanes are just two miles wide, and vessels must navigate near Iranian islands and mountains—perfect cover for attacks.
Iran’s conventional navy is largely destroyed, but the Revolutionary Guards still have fast attack craft, mini submarines, and the capacity to produce 10,000 drones a month.
Escorting just three or four ships a day would require seven or eight destroyers providing constant air cover. Sustainable for months? That takes resources no one has committed.
France says a joint mission may come after the conflict. Germany is skeptical. Japan and Australia say they’re not sending ships. The world needs the oil, but no one is lining up to lead the charge.